Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.526405 9.807690 11.174174 12.735379 14.464931 16.317579 18.447316
2025-03-09 6.514035 8.225323 10.182135 12.566698 15.374527 18.555954 22.412489
2025-03-16 5.029144 6.941607 9.275889 12.291550 16.037893 20.491161 26.133042
2025-03-23 4.281078 6.398245 9.134585 12.850038 17.675391 23.638269 31.461688
2025-03-30 3.539814 5.724043 8.708797 12.957315 18.706599 26.065686 36.026609
2025-04-06 2.784853 4.890817 7.938485 12.486706 18.894703 27.379149 39.206759
2025-04-13 2.172922 4.151221 7.183216 11.921572 18.858933 28.339635 41.919778
2025-04-20 1.925543 3.937223 7.163983 12.390247 20.268806 31.293869 47.406119
2025-04-27 1.814410 3.928847 7.451313 13.325504 22.391344 35.318869 54.511865
2025-05-04 1.670825 3.836199 7.583934 14.017370 24.177259 38.931230 61.170147
2025-05-11 1.444492 3.548881 7.352993 14.098255 25.024346 41.209636 66.009021
2025-05-18 1.191065 3.158740 6.891716 13.748510 25.161567 42.428137 69.343138
2025-05-25 0.989735 2.841324 6.531099 13.551236 25.552439 44.083520 73.450769
2025-06-01 0.847509 2.622195 6.323757 13.595335 26.327444 46.346157 78.534545
2025-06-08 0.705722 2.370552 6.017875 13.429333 26.733830 48.046180 82.826347
2025-06-15 0.659109 2.344691 6.164161 14.104615 28.597532 52.101295 90.832473
2025-06-22 0.575357 2.201588 6.045446 14.264636 29.573258 54.772402 96.785515
2025-06-29 0.458848 1.934069 5.617594 13.781600 29.379695 55.535825 99.778846
2025-07-06 0.356517 1.672495 5.158852 13.184161 28.928637 55.838206 102.030728
2025-07-13 0.329134 1.642565 5.240792 13.699973 30.538765 59.618867 109.936427
2025-07-20 0.328226 1.703640 5.551721 14.717357 33.126665 65.121910 120.753560
2025-07-27 0.313827 1.713062 5.733592 15.468736 35.242139 69.881312 130.474662
2025-08-03 0.272577 1.610155 5.614945 15.557967 36.098178 72.510920 136.784015